A five-step infographic explaining a p-value: assume nothing unusual, collect data, ask how surprising the result would be, calculate the p-value, then interpret it

P-Values, Explained With Coins, Chocolate, and a Little Doubt

Ever seen a headline like “Study Finds Chocolate Makes You Happier” and thought, finally, science gets something right? Congratulations, you already care about p-values. You just did not know that was the thing you were reacting to. Here is a smaller, less delicious version of the same question. You flip a coin ten times. Eight land on heads. Your friend says, immediately, “That coin must be weighted.” Another friend just shrugs. “Weird things happen sometimes.” So who is right? ...

July 13, 2026 · 10 min · The Cozy Corner 🌿